AN EVALUATION OF COST OF PRODUCTION INFORMATION USAGE BY COUNTY AGENTS

County agents receive cost of production information primarily from state extension services and then disseminate it to agricultural producers. A survey gathered data on agent usage of this information. A Poisson regression analysis using count data was performed to determine the factors influencing the number of times county agents directly referred to published cost of production (enterprise budget) information in a year. The agent's understanding of budget information use in management decisions, the availability of budgets, and his/her receiving the budgets in multiple forms (e.g., sheets, booklets, or software) had significant positive impacts on the use of budgets by the agent.Production Economics, Teaching/Communication/Extension/Profession,

Estimating Forage Production Following Pinyon-Juniper Control: A Probabilistic Approach

An important management practice within the 60-80 million acres of Pinyon-Juniper woodlands is to convert these woodlands to open rangelands. The success or failure of seedling adapted grasses in place of trees is contingent upon the revegetation techniques employed and upon fortuitous weather patterns. In order to formulate policy for Pinyon-Juniper control decisions, persons responsible for such policies need to know the risks of introducing range grasses into given areas. This thesis is essentially a hypothesis concerning the magnitude of such risks. Pinyon-Juniper control has been practiced widely in the five state areas of Arizona, Colorado, Nevada, New Mexico, and Utah. Justification for control and conversion of the woodlands to open grazing areas rests on the assumption that the trees have little apparent utility and, therefore they should be replaced by a grass resource which has relatively greater value. In its extreme form the assumption involves the notion that the trees are actually detrimental to the productivity of the land. they become a hindrance to the growth of various forms of plant life considered desirable. Considerable investment, primarily at the expense of society, has been incurred in the transformation process. Until recent years control projects have been limited to the most accessible sites and areas invaded by Pinyon-Juniper trees. At present the conversion place has slackened due to the limited number of remaining accessible sites in some areas, but more importantly to the fact that the projects have had a history of mixed success. While certain rules of thumb have been put forth to explain the nature of the factors influencing seedling emergence and increased forage production, these are so volatile that an apprehension of failure exists among land managers. The intensity of investment can only be balanced against risk levels if there is basic understanding of the roles played by the variables influencing seedling establishment and forage increase. Both policy and nonpolicy (not subject to human manipulation) variables must be identified and their influences upon success measured. The analysis that follows begins by setting forth the objectives to be achieved in evaluating the tree conversion process and its associated risk. Next a theory of range grass seedling establishment is presented. The appropriate variables are identified and an establishment model is applied to the empirical data. A third section specifically treats weather as a major influence upon seedling emergence and forage production. A model expressed in probabilistic terms, employing the Markov property is applied to available data to evaluate weather index movements. Finally having dealt with emergence, a theory is developed to explain expected forage production in the period following emergence. The parameters of the associated model are obtained from empirical data

Contribution of Scalar Loops to the Three-Photon Decay of the Z

I corrected 3 mistakes from the first version: that were an omitted Feynman integration in the function f^3_{ij}, a factor of 2 in front of log f^3_{ij} in eq.2 and an overall factor of 2 in Fig.1 c). The final result is changed drastically. Doing an expansion in the Higgs mass I show that the matrix element is identically 0 in the order (MZ/MH)^2, which is due to gauge invariance. Left with an amplitude of the order (MZ/MH)^4 the final result is that the scalar contribution to this decay rate is several orders of magnitude smaller than those of the W boson and fermions.Comment: 6 pages, plain Tex, 1 figure available under request via fax or mail, OCIP/C-93-5, UQAM-PHE-93/0